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INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIST
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Election: Festival of Lights
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Inklings

On 15 March IE completed 41 years. The time of launch, the ides of March 1968, was not the best of times; after two successive droughts and a steep devaluation of rupee, the economy, was through a bad patch.
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Editor's Notes

In 1967 I visited a dozen automobile and auto component units in West Germany and UK...
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Global Economy

Growth rates for India and China have been sharply revised down by IMF/World Bank. India's growth is projected at 6.3 per cent in 2009 and 5.3 per cent in 2010.
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Analysis

Can Obama turn the economy around? The best hope is that if the banking system begins working normally...
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Gold - ending 100 years of solitude.
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The economic crisis reflects structural imbalance in the global economy and financial risk accumulation. Thus there is no immediate solution to this challenge.
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Budgetary trends of four southern states for 2009-10 reveal the negative impact of economic downturn witnessed by the states in the last one year.
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Reliance Merger: The why and how of capita-lisation strategy of RIL
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Politics

Congress and BJP are in power on their own in just four of the large states each; with the threat posed by the Third Front, there is the danger of their losing national identity and power further.     more...

Banking

Financial inclusion – the effectiveness of 'no frills' accounts
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Moving towards a big rise in NPAs
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Energy

There is a New Era in the oil value creation as a result of complex interaction between geo politics and supply/ demand fundamentals superimposed with global warming and peak oil concerns.
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Employment

There is nothing short of a skills crisis. Huge investments are needed. Only 30- 35 per cent of engineering graduates are employment-worthy.
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Economy

Eastern Europe on the meltdown: Austrian, Swedish and Swiss banks will get hit
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US News Letter

News the newspapers don't want to carry
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Macro Economics

ESOPs can have a significant impact on the economic value of the firm and the welfare of the general shareholders, because by definition, they are designed to sell something far less than its market price.
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Report

Insurance: Service tax reduction will impact beneficially
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Tea Trade: For the country as a whole also, 2008 was an impressive year. Production rose to an all-time high level of 981 million kg.
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Beyond bubbles and busts

State versus market – post-crisis model

President Obama's ideas of such reshaping for the economy are implicit in both the massive stimulus and the budget in which his reform priorities – healthcare, cleaner energy to cut down carbon emissions and quality education system.

The global economic and financial crisis has dealt a severe blow to free market capitalism, already under challenge for its bias toward capital and the rich as against labour and the poor.

It should at least hopefully set the stage for evolving a new global order of equitable growth and inclusive development within a multilateral framework. While capital markets would remain without having to perform miracles, they need to be strictly regulated to prevent recurrence of the financial market turmoils of 2007-09. The crisis brought the world economy has pushed it a few years behind, aborting such social gains as developing countries could make through their own efforts.
US President Barack Obama, who will participate in the Summit on his first visit to Europe in early April, will press for more effective globally co-ordinated measures 'to lift ourselves out of the mire' and for a stronger regulatory regime for financial markets. The world has to act together to address global problems, he says. In the post-crisis economic model he has in view which would be based on productivity, investment and exports, spurring world demand has become essential for the American economy. Therefore, he would raise a powerful voice against protectionism in trade or finance.

Differing diagnoses

International institutions have identified differing factors leading to the global financial crisis. For IMF, it is more the failure of market discipline and regulation to keep up with financial deregulation and innovation but all concerned missing the big picture of the growing asset price bubble. UNCTAD blames governments for 'blind faith' in the efficiency of deregulated financial markets, ignoring the role of speculation in creating the illusion of risk-free profits and profligacy. Global imbal-ances and the absence of rule-based international monetary system made things worse. Human greed was left out of account in evaluating risks of financial deregulation or the new packaged instruments that were invented.

The Obama model

President Obama is making a clean break with the brash brand of capitalism which allowed market forces to operate unfettered and let economic expansion fuelled by debt-financing and asset price inflation. There would be no going back to "endless cycles of bubble and bust, basing our economy on reckless speculation and spending beyond our means, on bad credit and inflated home prices and over-leveraged banks," he declared at a White House Conference with US business chiefs recently.

Instead, a more sustainable pattern would be one based on investment, public and private, and exports for the world's largest economy, unrivalled in terms of productivity, innovation and free trade, according to him. Not that President Barack Obama has any ideological proclivity but, faced with a global crisis of unprecedented magnitude brought on essentially by 'greed' on Wall Street, on the one hand, and debt-fuelled consumption on the Main Street, he feels it is time 'to put our growth model on a different footing.' The days of growing the economy through an over-heated housing market or through people running up exorbitant credit card bills must end as the created 'illusion of prosperity' had hurt all.

When markets fall out of balance…

While he remains a strong believer in the power of free market as engine of America's progress and source of its unmatched prosperity, government has to step in when markets 'fall out of balance' causing economic upheavals. Business models creating a lot of 'paper wealth' and not real wealth cannot be the fashion, he says, and going beyond 'bubbles and busts,' USA should start establishing a foundation for long-term economic growth.

President Obama's ideas of such reshaping for the economy are implicit in both the massive stimulus and the budget in which his reform priorities - health care, cleaner energy to cut down carbon emissions and quality education system to equip students with knowledge and skills for jobs of future - are embedded. In short, Obama is seeking a change in the way business has been done in Washington over the last decade.

 
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