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INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIST
Cover Story

Investments on infrastructure through the remaining 40 months of the current Plan would shrink substantially. Total spend might come down to around $300 billion.
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Inklings

There was a recent report on Tamil Nadu turning down the proposal of the Indian Railways to build new rail lines after these have been mooted and analysed for their importance quite some years ago.
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Editor's Notes

When large contrac-tors shy away …
In our previous issue, I had written of an innovative scheme to transform sprawling slums into livable, multi-storied habitats by the involve-ment of the government and large property developers of Mumbai.
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Commentary

The (G-20) Summit in Washington on 15 November was a landmark event inasmuch as, for the first time, leading emerging economies came into their own as equal partners in shaping global economy and in reframing rules for the international financial markets.
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Macro Economics

Extreme illiquidity characterises the market for financial instruments such as bonds, both government and non-government.
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Banking

Only 24.5 per cent of the rural households in Puducherry had availed banking services. In the case of urban households it was 35.5 per cent. 33.6 per cent of the rural households do not own any assets...
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Nuclear Power

Robust planning is required in legislation, regulatory control, safety, safeguards... to support a large nuclear power programme for the public and private sectors.
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US Elections

India continues to witness domination of political families and is not throwing up charismatic young leaders who would command attention at the national level. Can we ever see the emergence of an Obama?
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US Economy

With the protracted downturn in the US economy, it is only a question of time before the bail-outs are extended to autos, airlines, retailers...
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Insurance

What has been the progress of the insurance sector since it was opened up for private competition some eight years ago?
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Space Research

India told the world that it was not just a nuclear power but also a cosmic power. The ISRO asserted on 14 Novem-ber, 2008 that it was no less capable than NASA and the ESA.
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Agriculture

Transformation of rocky, barren terrain into productive forms
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Analysis

On 17 September, Reliance Industries created history when it pumped oil from India's first deep-sea oilfield. Initially oil flowed at 5500 barrels per day;
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Opinion

Draw a line between Chandigarh and Chennai. Seven out of the eight IPL cricket teams are on the line or to the 'right' of this line.
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commentary- Pricing

Finance minister P Chidambaram made the eminently sensible suggestion to captains of industry to reduce consumer prices that will stimulate demand; help work to fuller capacity and steer through the current slowdown.
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Analysis - Exports

The global economic crisis has hit India where it hurts the most with over a dozen job-oriented export sectors slipping into disarray.
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Capital Notes

The global economic crisis triggered by the sub prime mortgage crisis (housing loan crisis) in the U.S. could stifle the growth of infrastructure in India.
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Analysis - coal supply

Union ministries of coal and power are at loggerheads over the fuel supply pact, with the latter insisting on an assured 90 per cent coal supply under the commitment made by state-run Coal India Ltd.
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International Diary


At a loss in describing one…

The stock market globally is more elastic than people ever think. Just when you think things can't get any worse, prices can go lower and moods can be much darker. Global losses from stock market crashes have now exceeded $30 trillion, which is more than twice America's GDP. Sliding US housing prices have destroyed another $5 trillion in wealth, with housing prices still dropping in four out of five cities.

What is so shocking is the fact that not only is all of this unprecedented but also that the butchery happened in such a short time. As recently as last month, most of the pundits still held out hopes on a 'mild recession' and a 'soft landing,' but insteadthe downturn has been much more violent than almost anyone imagined.

The Dow Jones Index is presently hovering around what should be the bottom of its current trading channel. The scary part is that there aren't any apparent support levels once the 7500 levels are reached (just as this article in being written, President-elect Barack Obama has named Tim Geithner of the New York Federal Reserve as his next Treasury Secretary - an announcement that saw Dow gain 500 points to close around 8000). In fact, we wouldn't be surprised to see a rally back to 10,000. Just high enough (and long enough) for the average investor to believe that the danger has passed and that it's safe to go back into the water. Bear markets are like that, after all. The long term damage potential is frightening because corrections tend to be equal and opposite to the bubbles that preceded them.

The ultimate learning from all of this is to manage cash flows and increase safety nets. Most of us seemed to believe we could live beyond our means for ever. But that's no longer the case: in fact, the most recent quarter showed the biggest decline in consumer spending in 28 years. Everyone with any sense is now trying to build up their cash reserves, even if it means a lower standard of living. Saving money is getting very stylish these days as reducing debt.
As they say, in a bear market, the only winners are the ones who lose the least.


The most tech savvy president

After running a textbook presidential campaign that ranged form internet donations, videos on Facebook, online voter registration drives and multimedia email campaigns, it should have come as little surprise how quickly President-elect Barack Obama's transition team set up new operations on the Internet. The team launched its official website, www.hange.gov, within 24 hours of the 4 November elections. The website features a newsroom, a blog, a full agenda of the president-elect and a weekly YouTube video address to the nation. In doing so, it also introduced a new chapter on the role of technology in U.S. government.

Obama's election is, and his presidency will be, historic for many reasons. His adoption of the latest web and database technologies to engage the public - and his commitment to leveraging technology - promise to be among those reasons. Security reasons prevent a U.S. President from using the latest tech gadgets for day-to-day activities. Barack Obama is also expected to be the first president to use a laptop in the White House, possibly continue using this cell phone (at least to receive emails) and otherwise engage in technology tools.

Perhaps more important is Obama's plan to appoint a national chief technology officer (CTO) - unnamed at press time - and his science and technology agenda. The CTO, the first in the nation's history, would work with agency chief information officers and CTOs to share best practices, ensure network safety and evaluate new technologies, among other duties. Big name CEOs like Eric Schmidt of Google and Sam Palmisano (ex-IBM) have reportedly been considered for this.
In so many respects, it will be a CHANGE. And one hopes it will be for the better.

 

 
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