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Of course, Gujarat is vibrant Inflation: are we emulating Argentina and Brazil? Insurance companies bleeding, yet no decision on increasing FDI limit! Reliance’s TV – 18 ready to launch Tamil News Channel Don’t seem to feel the pulse… A professional at the helm of IRDA... Where is Rajaji? IPL - no surprise this scam Tough task taking states together A rich pool of talent not utilised…. WTO Meet: resolved to meet again Demise of a media baron... The Swadeshi Trump Measuring roof tops in terms of KW/MW Scientists urged to take up farmer-oriented research L&T: focus on infrastructure and more infrastructure… A Grand Finale for SN’s MS centenary at the US… When TN politicians can emulate Kerala's MHC should not return to its old indisciplined ways SoA @ 80 The sea- saw battle continues... Whistle-Stop Tour of Raghuram Rajan Gay abandon in pricing L&T- the specialty of special purpose vehicles IAS invades NDDB... Recognition to role of NBFCs.... 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Godspeed, Chief Minister JJ More Shakthi to Das’ elbow Contrarian cousins Solar thermal shines… Small units prefers to remain small... Rs.1600 crore paper board plant of TNPL S V Raju – a ‘good’ true liberal PPP mode for upgrading Corporation Hospitals Infrastructure funding – lessons learnt Padma Bhushan for A Ramakrishna Streamlining mandatory third party cover Welcome focus on core competence The why of tax incentives An inexplicable neglect Adapt Vajpayee dinner diplomacy Roaring Ro-Ro facility to the lack of interest on the part of these to focus on original research. This despite the much lower costs of such research in India. The industry which thrived on the protection of a closed economy and the advantage of a vast domestic market, has failed to organise its evolution on healthy lines A Grand Finale for SN’s MS centenary at the US… The brown list of Venkitaramanan Making ‘my Amaravati’... 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Bihar elections - the Rajaji formula worked

Close to five decades ago elder statesman Chakravarthy Rajagopalachari, (aka Rajaji), appreciated the value of electoral arithmetic.

He factored that the formidable Congress in those time garnered more votes than polled individually by other parties who were fighting elections separately contributing to the splitting of anti-Congress votes. He formed an alliance in the 1967 elections with the DMK and other parties opposed to the Congress. This association contributed to a facile win for the DMK, which captured power with a comfortable majority. The formula worked well in the subsequent elections to the Assembly in Tamil Nadu by parties opposed to the party in power forming a united front.

The arithmetic is simple. Take the voter turn out to be around 60 per cent and the vote share of 35 per cent for the AIADMK; 30 per cent for the DMK; 9 per cent for DMDK; 8 per cent for Congress; 5 per cent for PMK and 2-3 per cent each for CPI, CPM and MDMK. You can now easily see the success of anti-incumbency factor when parties in opposition come together.

This was precisely the reason for the impressive victory of the JDU-RJD-Congress front. When these fought individually in the elections for the Lok Sabha last year, the BJP-LJD combine registered a huge win. In the recent assembly elections, there has not been much of a change in the votes polled by the respective parties. But the coming together of the three major opposition parties ensured comfortable majority  for the Nitish Kumar-Lalu Prasad-Rahul led front.

The lesson is clear for the Tamil Nadu elections due early next year. But with every party leader dreaming of chief-ministership, there is the difficulty of forging unity among the anti-AIADMK parties. They are, of course, familiar with the AIADMK winning 37 out of 39 seats in the elections to the Lok Sabha last year, purely on the splitting of votes among the opposition parties. But elections are still away and the lessons of the Bihar election are bound to weigh with these.

 

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